climate volatility

Climate Volatility and Poverty Vulnerability in Tanzania

Authors
Syud Amer Ahmed, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Thomas W. Hertel, David B. Lobell, Navin Ramankutty, Ana R. Rios, and Pedram Rowhani
Publisher
Global Environmental Change
Publication date
Location
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378010001007
Source / Citation
S.A Ahmed, N.S. Diffenbaugh, T.W. Hertel, D.B. Lobell, N. Ramankutty, A.R. Rios, P. Rowhani. 2011. "Climate volatility and poverty vulnerability in Tanzania." Global Environmental Change 21(1):46-55.
Country

Climate volatility could change in the future, with important implications for agricultural productivity. For Tanzania, where food production and prices are sensitive to climate, changes in climate volatility could have severe implications for poverty. This study uses climate model projections, statistical crop models, and general equilibrium economic simulations to determine how the vulnerability of Tanzania;s population to impoverishment by climate variability could change between the late 20th Century and the early 21st Century.

Climate volatility deepens poverty vulnerability in developing countries

Authors
Syud A Ahmed, Noah S Diffenbaugh, and Thomas W Hertel
Publisher
Environmental Research Letters
Publication date
Last version on
Location
http://ibcperu.org/doc/isis/11182.pdf
Source / Citation
Ahmed A.,Diffenbaugh N.,and Hertel T. 2009. "Climate Volatility Deepens Poverty Vulnerability in Developing Countries." Environmental Research Letters 4(3):1-8.

Extreme climate events could influence poverty by affecting agricultural productivity and raising prices of staple foods that are important to poor households in developing countries. With the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events predicted to change in the future, informed policy design and analysis requires an understanding of which countries and groups are going to be most vulnerable to increasing poverty. Using a novel economic-climate analysis framework, we assess the poverty impacts of climate volatility for seven socio-economic groups in 16 developing countries.